Sirus Digital Newsletter – Edition 113

It has been a couple of weeks since I was able to send out an update. #Apologies

Like many of you, time in the Fall comes at a premium! Even with an extra hour with the time change (Ugh!), there is just so much more to do than there is time in the day to do it!

Thankfully, I have got a few minutes to connect as we near Tuesday’s Mid-Term Elections.

My political leanings and worldview are pretty well known. I hold few secrets about where I stand on the issues even if I focus on my other interests in much of my writing.

This update will follow and simply focus on what I see of the environment and landscape as we are now just a couple of days before Election Day.

That said…

The 2022 Mid-Term elections on Tuesday are likely to be a pretty good day for Republicans.

While the Republican outlook wasn’t especially positive as recently as 6-8 weeks ago, Democrats have been battling some tough economic headwinds throughout this election cycle.

• Inflation and the economy have been front and center for large blocs of voters.
• Energy policy (manifested in higher gas prices) has been a continuing pain point (affecting voters both directly at the pump and at the checkout registers where they pay for goods they buy).
• Abortion and other cultural issues are doing very little outside of serving to motivate the already-convinced voters.
• Dire warnings of “threats to Democracy” are not making headway among enough voters feeling the effects of economic issues.

Looking at the political landscape (especially campaign spending in advance of Election Day), Democrats are strategically pulling money from what were thought to be toss-up races to shore up and defend allegedly “safe” seats in areas that President Biden won by as much as 7-10 points just two years ago!

Races in states like Georgia and Florida are being near-abandoned to defend races in New York, Oregon, Washington, and California.

With each passing announcement, trends continue to drive the likely outcome closer and closer toward Republican gains. (Note: From my standpoint, individual polling is a wildly inaccurate measure, but it can effectively capture momentum and trends.)

As you now read less than 24 hours before polls begin opening, I suspect that there are really two possible outcomes depending upon just how volatile Election Day voting turns out.